Causing the bat to go in and out of the zone quickly leading to weaker contact and more ground balls. The Guardians are as good as any team in baseball at identifying and developing pitching and they seem to have snagged Williams just as his stock was about to go through the roof. Command/control pitchers with high spin rates and big strikeout upside are something the Guardians are known for. His best pitch is his plus slider in the upper 80s. After all, he remarkably has only 700 professional plate appearances under his belt. It was more of the same in 2022 when Jung returned from injury, launching six homers in 23 Triple-A games. He has a chance to not only be baseballs best power-hitting catchers, but to also be one of the games better power hitters period. While he is not a burner, Williams is fast enough to be a factor on the base paths. The speed has always been there for Turang, but he has looked as comfortable on the base paths as ever. He currently struggles with fastballs located on the inner half of the plate. The MLB and MLBPA recently came to an agreement, and now we are close to the start of the 2022 MLB season. Overall, there is 30 homer power here with good on-base skills and an ability to hit lefties. cut down his leg kick while quieting/simplifying his hand load. March 1, 2023. An average runner, Vargas has averaged around 10-12 stolen bases per season, but surprisingly swiped 17 bags on 22 tries year. His hands work really well and he has a well above average arm for the position. Painters strike% has hovered around 67% all season long while he continues to rely on his fastball less as he gains confidence in his strong secondaries. Height/Weight: 511, 180|Bat/Throw: R/R|2nd Round (54), 2020 (STL)|ETA: 2023. As an amateur and in a brief sample as a pro, Holliday drew effusive praise from . Amador makes up for it with borderline elite bat-to-ball skills as a righty and low chase rates. An above average runner, Neto should provide some value on the base paths and mix in a handful of stolen bases. Bibee has a great feel for the pitch, landing it for a strike nearly 70% of the time while holding opponents to a .426 OPS. The heater has some riding life to it and plays well at the top of the zone, generating an impressive 13.4% swinging strike rate this season. The larger question in regards to De La Cruzs ceiling is how much he is going to hit, but his ridiculously high slugging on contact and improved body control in the box bode well even if he is a fringy hitter. That said, Abel also possesses a changeup that has flashed above average with arm-side fade. The elite defense, improved ability to get on base and integration of speed into game value has made Tovar a high floor prospect whose ceiling is difficult to peg for all the right reasons. One of the most athletic catchers in the minors, Naylor has made big leaps behind the dish over the last couple seasons. His receiving is better than I thought it would be, and his arm looks average. The 64 Vanderbilt commit is exciting to watch on film as the raw power is undeniable. Carter is a plus runner who covers a lot of ground in center with his long quick strides. Climbing three levels in one season is impressive enough, but Norby has seen his production improve at each stop while his strikeout rate was dwindled. The top 20 players for each organization, plus other notables, the 2022 impact, and the risers and fallers. He controls his body well and his inward toe tap helps keep his front side on the baseball, aiding him in left-on-left matchups. Like a true catcher, OHoppe really gets into his legs with his stance and actually sinks even deeper into his lower half in his load. The right-hander has extreme confidence in the offering, using it in any count and locating it well. Peraza also features a noticeable two strike approach, in which he minimizes the leg kick and looks to battle. PCA starts with an upright stance before sinking into his backside as he gets his hands into a launch position. Height/Weight: 60, 180|Bat/Throw: L/R|IFA: $1.3M (2017) CLE|ETA: 2023. Height/Weight: 62, 220|Bat/Throw: R/R|1st Round (8), 2019 (TEX)|ETA: 2023. To the naked eye, the immense amount of late-life could easily get it confused with a splitter. The pitch breaks so much that it can be difficult to land for a strike, but Priester racked up a 45% chase rate with the offering while allowing almost no hard contact. by Retrosheet. All Prospects rankings are compiled in late winter, prior to the MLB season. Burleson is capable of playing in either corner and should develop into an average defender at either spot. Perez his one of the favorites to take over the best pitching prospect in baseball title upon Grayson Rodriguezs graduation. Davis has elite offensive upside with the ability to play all three outfield spots at a high level. Green utilizes a simple toe tap and hand load, relying on his impressive bat speed and strength to impact the baseball, which is a bit reminiscent of Starling Marte. The pitch has decent life and Graceffo commands it well to all four quadrants. The pull side power for Mervis is easily plus, but he looks to use the whole field and hits the ball where its pitched. Id be lying to you if I said I expected above average exit velocities from Merrill in year one, however his max exit velocity of 110 mph and 90th percentile EV of 104 mph with still plenty of room to fill out has Merrill looking like he could tap into even more juice. His present feel to hit is extremely advanced as are his defensive tools. Millers surface level stats may not be as sexy as some of the other pitching prospects in his ranking tier, however the Texas League and Pacific Coast League are two of the most difficult spots in the Minors to pitch. Valeras calling card is his sweet left-handed swing geared for lift and power. Casas has already hit home runs as far as 472 feet and has the ability to mishit baseballs that still leave the yard. A ridiculously impressive track record of hitting along with a well-rounded game and defensive versatility make Vargas one of the more high floor prospects in the game. Carroll has true five-tool upside with elite makeup and instincts. Even though his front shoulder can leave the ball a bit earlier than desired, he keeps his weight back and his bat stays in the zone for so long that he has no problem pulverizing fastballs. . So even. A smooth, level swing that is geared for line drives, PCA has shown plenty of comfort spraying the ball all over the field. Still extremely young with a solid High-A season under his belt, Caissie is progressing nicely and could be a middle-of-the-order masher capable of 30+ homers if the raw pop can translate into game pop. Height/Weight: 64, 180|Bat/Throw: R/R|1st Round (2) 2022|ETA: 2026. The third pitch for Jobe is a changeup that has flashed above average in the mid 80s. It sits 93-95 MPH, topping out at 97. With two strikes, Burleson spreads out even more, eliminating his stride and focusing on putting the ball in play. Theres a bit of zone whiff for Wiemer, but he makes up for it with a solid approach and spectacular slugging on contact. The Rays tried Aranda out just about everywhere. With the added power has come a bit more whiff than expected, but Cowser hedges that with a great approach. Though his power is above average at best, Rafaelas adjustments have helped him tap into it in games making his jump in HR/FB rate sustainable. Great stuff and premium athleticism give Bradley frontline upside. Acquired from the Yankees in the Anthony Rizzo deal, Alcantara has a chance to be a terrorizing middle-of-the order bat with sneaky complementary tools. Now starting slightly open with his stance, Campusano uses the toe-tap to close himself off and keep his weight back. What stands out the most with Mervis is how his numbers improved as he jumped levels. Already putting on shows with his majestic batting practice homers, we started to see flashes of his plus raw power in games this season. Hell see time in the Arizona Fall League before picking things back up next season in the upper minors. He is consistently clocked with sub-four second run times to first base. The Dodgers took the training wheels off of Miller this year and he has responded well to being stretched out. A three sport athlete in High School, Frelick won Masachusetts Gatorade Football Player of the Year before heading over to Boston College. His low 80s changeup gives him a third above average pitch, though Graceffo has struggled to consistently throw it for a strike. Age: 20|Height/Weight: 62, 190|Bat/Throw: R/R|IFA: $2.6M (2018)|ETA: 2023. Despite possessing immense speed, Frelick has not yet translated it into stolen bases. Brown has three potentially plus offerings, starting with his 95-97 MPH fastball topping out at 99. How much power he taps into will be a determinant in just how absurdly high his ceiling is, but Hollidays instincts, natural hitting ability, physical projection and bloodlines have Holliday looking like a potential All-Star shortstop for the Orioles. 2021 Williams put his big tools on display in his first pro season, giving Rays fans plenty to look forward to. This is likely a cue to get into his back hip and Volpe does a fantastic job of just that. He easily has the potential for 30+ home run pop with the patience to keep the strikeout rates in check while getting on base at a good clip. Caissie moves well for his size, but his limited experience in the outfield heading into 2022 was evident in his reads and routes. Caissie is short to the ball and can really turn on pitches middle-in with authority. After not being seen in a game setting since 2019 due to injuries and 2020s MiLB season cancellation, Lewis looked healthy and much improved at the plate in 2022 before unfortunately re-tearing his ACL. //]]> He will need to improve his command and feel for pitching in order to achieve his ceiling, which remains sky high. Scouts and evaluators have seen significant improvement with pitch recognition and holding back on balls out of the zone in 2022. Chourios load is simple, picking his heel up while focusing on shifting his weight onto his back side. The 21-year-olds game was polished enough for the Orioles to see him as an asset to their playoff push, earning a September call up for the American League Wild Card hopefuls. It seems to be more of an approach thing than a swing that is geared for the pull as he has shown plenty of comfort going the other way with authority, launching five homers to the opposite field and plenty of extra base hits. Guardians cautious with Valera's wrist timetable. Though not up to the standard of his other three impressive pitches, it gives Williams another look and can be an effective pitch as he gains more confidence in it. Built-in deception and a high spin fastball helps Waldichuk pick up Ks in bunches, despite his secondaries being just average or slightly above. Realmuto, and while that may be aiming high, he has given no reason to believe that those heights are not achievable. This season, Moreno has continued to mash to a high batting average, but his ground ball rate has jumped back up by more than five percent and the extra base hits have suffered as a result. The southpaw will also mix in an average upper 70s curveball to steal strikes on occasion. Even with command issues, Harrison gets enough whiffs to be a high strikeout middle of the rotation arm who may struggle with consistency. Veen is a long, slender, and fluid athlete with tons of projection still left in his frame. After swiping just three bags in 32 High-A games last year, Tovar has already racked up 17 stolen bases through his first 65 Double-A games. Rocchios speed is more visible in the field than on the base paths at this point, which is a bit surprising given his well-documented impressive baseball IQ. In all, Neto slashed .403/.500/.751 with 27 home runs and 31 stolen bases in 100 collegiate games at Campbell. After another average offensive season in 2021, Turang adjusted his set up and has tapped into more power this season. Even so, he struck out 28% of batters and gave us glimpses into his elite potential. He has hedged swing and miss concerns with a career-low strikeout rate in Triple-A while producing his best power numbers. His long legs move quickly, making it seem like he is taking three steps between bases. Great bat-to-ball skills and swing malleability help Frelick make a ton of contact while getting to tough pitches. His defensive value comes from his 70 grade arm which is one of the strongest in the minors and pretty accurate as well thanks to his pitching days. Neto starts the slow, large leg kick early and repeats it well. The Mets are hoping he can get better at recognizing quality spin and develop into an everyday thumper. A plus runner who played all over the field in his collegiate career at UCLA, McLain could be the best candidate to see more action at another position. Gasser bursted onto draft radars with a lights out junior season at Houston. During his final season with the Red Raiders, Birdsell struck out 106 batters in 85 innings holding a 2.75 ERA in 15 starts. He has an above average arm and overall good footwork which should help his chances of sticking at short. While there are holes in Valeras game, he has remained productive at every level, reaching Triple-A before his 22nd birthday. Starting with the right side, Dominguez cut down his leg kick while quieting/simplifying his hand load. Crow-Armstrong is a hard-nosed gamer who is doing all of the things we thought he would do pretty well, exceptionally well while doing the things we werent totally sure he was capable of with the bat already. An easy plus plus pitch, the 12 inches of horizontal break, the pitch fades away from lefties, inducing plenty of weak contact while also diving in and under the hands of righties. An average pitch coming into the season, Tiedemanns improvement with the slider has it looking closer to above average while flashing plus. Collier looks advanced at the plate and to me resembles Jordan Walker coming out of the 2020 draft class. The Cardinals have not stretched Hence out much, averaging less than four innings per start, but he is set to get more work in the Arizona Fall League. Ford impressively only chased 14% of pitches in this season, helping him walk at a 18% clip. As he continues to get stronger and more advanced with his approach, Veen has the potential to be a middle-of-the-order monster who adds a dynamic piece to a lineup due to his ability to run. Tovar has Gold Glove potential at the position and is already showing it by being one of the best defenders in Double-A at 20 years old. Birdsell played for three different colleges from 2019-2022 with the final two years at Texas Tech. Possessing some of the most impressive raw power in the minors, Luciano defies his frame by flashing plus-plus raw pop despite weighing less than 200 pounds. Meads average arm and speed will keep him on the dirt with second base being the position he profiles best at. Frelick may not have enough power to be a star in todays game, but he has as good of a chance to be a big league regular as any prospect outside of the top 50. The earliest draft pick in Central Arkansas history, Stone has seen his stuff several ticks since joining the Dodgers organization with the potential for three well above average offerings. The question for Lesko will be if he will have above-average control of his pitches after TJ as some pitchers struggle with command post-procedure. For more great analysis check out the 2023 FantraxHQ Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit! Though not a great runner, Mayer moves pretty well at shortstop and has all of the goods to be an above average defender there. Rocchios plus speed can be seen in the field, as the talented shortstop will show off impressive range in all directions. Impressive balance and plate coverage helps Rodriguez stay back on breaking pitches and drive them with authority to all fields while still being quick and explosive enough to turn on hard stuff in. As one of the youngest players in Double-A, Walker launched 19 homers in 119 games while hitting .306/.388/.510. His offensive breakout makes it easy to overlook the fact that he can really defend behind the dish. Halls curveball lacks the tightness of his slider and is a bit more of a hittable pitch, but is still an above-average secondary that he will use to steal strikes. Updated: Friday, March 3, 2023 11:11 PM ET, Park Factors If Davis is not hampered by his back injury, he could blossom into an all-around All Star in the Cubs outfield. The youngest player selected in last years draft, Colliers advanced offensive skill-set should allow him to keep up with his fellow teenage first-rounders. The 24-year-old could improve with his ability to pick up spin. Holliday projects as a plus hitter. It generates swing-and-miss in the strike zone and is extremely difficult for hitters to get to. Jobe had the looks of one of the most polished high school arms we had seen in a while before looking more his age in his first pro season. Theres an outside shot that Valera can mature into an average hitter, but it is more likely that he is a below average hitter who can walk at a high clip and slug. Dominguezs swing was further along from the left side to begin with, though he made some smaller tweaks to achieve much of the same benefits of his right-handed improvements. A plus hitter who has progressively tapped into more power, Aranda fits the mold of many other Rays prospects with an extremely safe offensive profile. An extremely aggressive hitter Rafaela will need to develop more patience at the plate as his 38% chase rate limited him to just 26 walks in 522 PAs. Theres some effort in the delivery, but Leiters plus athleticism and ridiculous strong lower half helps. Youll see Williams often finish even his swing more upright than he started, which is a bit of a tell. Another good athlete, but not a burner, Norby brings above average speed to the table and excellent footwork/actions at second base. It has been a year of tweaks offensively for Campusano in 2022, but he has remained extremely productive while making strides on the defensive side of things. While power may not be the catalyst of Rocchios game, he has hit the ball with more authority and carry over the last two seasons. A compact build with some wiry strength, Arroyo really gets into his lower half with a wide, crouched stance in order to get his entire body into his swing. Capable of producing exit velocities as high as 119 MPH, including 65 batted balls over 105 MPH since the start of the 2021 season (694 at-bats). Davis returned from injury for the final month of the Triple-A season and is slated to get more at bats in the Arizona Fall League while eying a strong start to 2023 and a potential call up. Still just 22 years old and producing above-average numbers in Triple-A, Turang has a great chance to break camp with the Brewers next season. He should be a 30/30 threat at any level. He could debut as soon as 2023. A big frame at 6-foot-4, 195 pounds, Carter has plenty of room to add more strength and could easily develop into plus power. Ignoring those 14 games and whatever that idea was, Montgomery showed a lot of maturity and upside at the plate in his first season with power to dream on. A tough pitch for right-handed hitters to pick up, Waldichuk hides the ball well and repeats his release point with the change. Height/Weight: 64, 210|Bat/Throw: L/R|2nd Round (45), 2020 (CHC)|ETA: 2024. Theres no crazy tools to dream on or much defensive value, however he has been arguably the most consistent hitter in the minors over the last couple years. The left-handed hitter has shown plenty of comfort shooting balls the other way when he is behind in the count, but also had no problem leaving the yard to left field, launching eight oppo homers this season. It is easy to forget that Arroyo is just 18 years old when watching him play short. His ability to spot it on both sides of the plate makes it effective to both lefties and righties. An overslot 11th round pick in 2018, the Pirates shelled out $500K to sign Burrows away from UCONN, betting on his upside. If the command remains fringy, the Guardians still have a durable, high volume strikeout pitcher who can sit in the middle of their rotation for years and eat innings. Because of his difficult to pick up release point, hitters struggle to differentiate Gassers fastball from his changeup until it is too late, helping it play up. Barreling the ball is no issue for Holliday though he will get loopy with his swing from time to time. Graceffo has seen steady velocity gains over the last year and a half without his above average command waining. In the Cape Cod league, Lee slashed an astounding .405/.432/.667 with 6 home runs, 16 runs scored and 13 RBIs in 21 games played in 2021. He gets plenty of whiffs on the pitch at the top of the zone. Despite not being the top teenage prospect in his own organization, Matos is one of the most exciting teenage prospects in baseball, which is a testament to the upside of the Giants system. Big power and at least average hitting ability will have Colas looking like a corner outfield masher who can stay in the lineup every day thanks to his left-on-left success. You can now share individual prospect write ups by clicking the social media icon at the bottom of the players report, search by player name or team, sort by columns and we added arrows to indicate the trend of each prospects ranking. Though the higher ground ball rate is something to monitor with Campusano, his improved contact rates against all pitch types, chase rates and overall swing decisions provide reason for optimism. His above average arm has become increasingly accurate, throwing out a career-best 36% of attempted base stealers in Triple-A this season. Technically drafted as a shortstop, Johnson profiles as a second baseman and already saw the majority of his starts in Low-A at the position. Height/Weight: 510, 230|Bat/Throw: R/R|IFA: $2.7M 2018 (Mets)|ETA: 2023. Mervis detailed his swing adjustments on our prospect podcast The Call Up back in May then proceeded to climb three levels, mashing to a .310/.381/.610 line with 36 HR and 77 XBH over the course of the season. An average runner at best, Baty is not much of a base stealer, swiping only eight bags in his 237 minor league games. With multiple shortstops at the big league level for the Orioles, Westburg has seen action at third base and second base this season.
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